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Red180
512250.3
404858.8
99937.5
Blue150
476137.4
13354.7
199143.5
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13113080100120140160180200180150

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4048
#41
58.82.5
57.159.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.1
133
#19
54.71.0
56.657.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
5122
#31
50.32.5
48.751.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 6.9
1991
#49
43.51.0
39.640.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
999
#33
37.52.5
24.026.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.1
4761
#35
37.41.0
34.435.3
Auto
Teleop
End