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Red115
107342.1
17242.3
6945.5
Blue166
151961.4
31955.6
346778.3
16%Model gave it84%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions107198050150250300350400115166

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
69
#38
45.50.3
38.738.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 32.8
78.30.9
70.569.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
172
#10
42.30.3
45.545.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 19.1
61.40.9
61.460.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1073
#13
42.10.3
37.036.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 13.5
319
#11
55.60.9
51.750.8
Auto
Teleop
End