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Red190
405561.4
6945.5
110049.7
Blue251
206758.3
490853.3
512250.3
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions14013880100120160180200220240190251

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4055
#29
61.42.6
51.353.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.0
2067
#28
58.35.6
51.857.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1100
#30
49.72.6
47.850.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.6
4908
#27
53.35.6
36.442.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
69
#38
45.52.6
39.341.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 4.8
5122
#31
50.35.6
51.557.1
Auto
Teleop
End