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Red135
490931.0
199143.5
7861.6
Blue160
264837.3
208439.7
6155.6
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions131121050100150200250300135160

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
78
#24
61.60.3
57.357.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 6.0
61
#50
55.61.9
54.356.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1991
#49
43.50.3
42.142.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.8
2084
#48
39.71.9
33.034.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4909
#51
31.00.3
30.130.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 6.3
2648
#37
37.31.9
35.237.0
Auto
Teleop
End