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Red184
110049.7
71653.2
23750.7
Blue114
55861.5
447334.7
476137.4
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions157120050100200250300184114

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
716
#5
53.21.6
52.253.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 8.3
558
#3
61.50.6
64.864.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
237
#23
50.71.6
57.959.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 13.3
4761
#35
37.40.6
34.533.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1100
#30
49.71.6
41.142.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 15.1
4473
#18
34.70.6
26.626.0
Auto
Teleop
End