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Red206
346778.3
6945.5
5866.9
Blue175
352565.5
55861.5
346139.7
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions176175120140160200220240260206175

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
78.31.6
70.672.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 12.8
3525
#17
65.50.1
68.368.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
58
#16
66.91.6
61.863.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 5.4
558
#3
61.50.1
72.772.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
69
#38
45.51.6
41.843.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 5.8
3461
#42
39.70.1
35.635.6
Auto
Teleop
End