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Red150
405561.4
216853.1
16640.8
Blue190
17840.0
346139.7
346778.3
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions156147050100200250300150190

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4055
#29
61.40.2
55.655.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 16.9
78.32.1
72.274.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2168
#36
53.10.2
56.656.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 13.1
178
#39
40.02.1
40.943.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
166
#21
40.80.2
42.542.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.1
3461
#42
39.72.1
35.637.6
Auto
Teleop
End