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Red127
216853.1
352565.5
404858.8
Blue172
110049.7
264837.3
490931.0
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2011110300400127172

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3525
#17
65.53.0
71.268.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 15.7
1100
#30
49.72.3
48.751.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
4048
#41
58.83.0
59.756.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 21.5
2648
#37
37.32.3
40.843.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2168
#36
53.13.0
56.353.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 22.1
4909
#51
31.02.3
35.738.1
Auto
Teleop
End