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Red205
7861.6
208439.7
12589.1
Blue275
405561.4
19590.5
99937.5
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1941650100300400205275

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
125
#14
89.10.8
89.690.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.4
195
#1
90.55.3
86.591.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
78
#24
61.60.8
62.062.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.2
4055
#29
61.45.3
55.460.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2084
#48
39.70.8
37.938.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.2
999
#33
37.55.3
27.933.2
Auto
Teleop
End