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Red181
17760.7
476137.4
107342.1
Blue131
492515.5
199143.5
346139.7
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions15391050200250300350181131

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
177
#22
60.71.9
66.167.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 17.3
1991
#49
43.51.5
43.445.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1073
#13
42.11.9
41.543.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.4
3461
#42
39.71.5
37.639.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4761
#35
37.41.9
36.238.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 21.8
4925
#53
15.51.5
19.621.1
Auto
Teleop
End