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Red106
264837.3
13840.6
16640.8
Blue157
208439.7
512250.3
31955.6
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1201550200300400106157

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
166
#21
40.81.0
41.340.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 14.8
319
#11
55.60.4
53.553.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
138
#52
40.61.0
41.040.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 9.8
5122
#31
50.30.4
57.357.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2648
#37
37.31.0
43.142.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.4
2084
#48
39.70.4
38.739.1
Auto
Teleop
End