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Red316
19590.5
71653.2
81164.6
Blue79
17760.7
17242.3
490931.0
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions210141010030040050031679

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
195
#1
90.55.8
91.897.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 29.8
177
#22
60.73.6
67.964.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
811
#15
64.65.8
57.363.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 22.2
172
#10
42.33.7
46.042.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
716
#5
53.25.8
50.256.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 22.2
4909
#51
31.03.6
38.134.4
Auto
Teleop
End