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Red150
346778.3
492515.5
6155.6
Blue194
24637.9
22856.8
490853.3
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions156133050100200250300350400150194

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
78.30.1
78.778.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 21.5
228
#9
56.82.9
55.558.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
61
#50
55.60.1
57.657.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.3
4908
#27
53.32.9
46.849.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4925
#53
15.50.1
16.516.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 22.4
246
#40
37.92.9
34.437.3
Auto
Teleop
End