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Red189
55861.5
19590.5
512250.3
Blue116
71653.2
31955.6
7861.6
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2241640100200300400189116

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
195
#1
90.50.4
94.794.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 28.9
78
#24
61.61.0
62.561.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
558
#3
61.50.4
65.765.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 5.9
319
#11
55.61.0
56.655.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
5122
#31
50.30.4
54.654.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.8
716
#5
53.21.0
54.153.2
Auto
Teleop
End