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Red127
352565.5
22856.8
216853.1
Blue173
23075.0
17760.7
405561.4
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1732050100300400127173

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3525
#17
65.50.8
66.365.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 9.6
230
#4
75.00.5
76.075.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
228
#9
56.80.8
57.656.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 4.6
4055
#29
61.40.5
62.361.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2168
#36
53.10.8
54.053.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 7.6
177
#22
60.70.5
61.761.2
Auto
Teleop
End