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Red260
167895.2
164066.2
111497.5
Blue166
97182.3
34168.9
198349.1
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2711900100300400260166

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
97.50.0
97.597.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 15.2
971
#9
82.30.6
82.982.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
95.20.0
95.195.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 26.3
341
#33
68.90.6
69.568.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1640
#24
66.20.0
66.266.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 17.1
1983
#15
49.10.6
49.749.1
Auto
Teleop
End