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Red113
435525.6
31475.7
208558.1
Blue203
7852.9
173162.1
2559.7
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1431980100300400500113203

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
314
#12
75.71.9
76.274.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 13.6
1731
#51
62.10.7
70.370.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2085
#44
58.11.9
49.647.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.6
25
#23
59.70.7
58.158.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4355
#89
25.62.1
25.823.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 27.3
78
#55
52.90.7
61.662.2
Auto
Teleop
End