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Red110
505212.6
323850.4
360243.4
Blue191
490530.6
31475.7
11161.4
27%Model gave it73%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions981680200300400110191

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3238
#60
50.40.1
48.848.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 25.3
314
#12
75.71.7
70.071.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3602
#85
43.40.1
46.746.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 18.1
111
#13
61.41.7
55.256.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
5052
#98
12.60.1
13.113.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 18.0
4905
#31
30.61.7
32.133.8
Auto
Teleop
End