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Qual 1122014 Newton Division
Red152
151166.8
406154.9
325646.2
Blue187
61081.3
4861.5
5867.6
29%Model gave it71%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions153214050100250300350400152187

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1511
#30
66.80.5
64.7→64.2
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 14.5
610
#16
81.30.9
80.7→79.8
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Second
4061
#62
54.90.5
55.8→55.3
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 12.7
58
#29
67.60.9
63.5→62.6
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Third
3256
#80
46.20.5
42.0→41.4
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 15.3
48
#43
61.50.9
60.2→59.4
Auto—
Teleop—
End—