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Red182
1689.2
115625.9
112655.0
Blue126
331353.2
228366.8
464526.4
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions180130050100150200250300350182126

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
16
#4
89.20.5
90.390.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 22.5
2283
#48
66.80.6
64.964.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1126
#52
55.00.5
50.050.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.9
3313
#20
53.20.6
51.450.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1156
#75
25.90.5
31.632.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.5
4645
#50
26.40.6
21.220.6
Auto
Teleop
End