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Red125
62338.7
11161.4
129432.7
Blue206
198349.1
252258.5
406154.9
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions128168050100200250300350400125206

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
111
#13
61.40.5
56.956.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.9
2522
#22
58.52.2
57.559.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
623
#97
38.70.5
41.941.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 16.2
4061
#62
54.92.2
55.357.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1294
#82
32.70.5
35.334.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 16.4
1983
#15
49.12.2
49.051.2
Auto
Teleop
End