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Red166
81158.1
61245.3
382468.4
Blue211
198692.6
36881.7
505212.6
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1622010100300400166211

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3824
#45
68.40.1
68.168.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 24.2
92.60.8
97.298.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
811
#86
58.10.1
57.857.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 23.5
368
#21
81.70.8
83.584.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
612
#46
45.30.1
42.542.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 32.7
5052
#98
12.60.8
14.114.9
Auto
Teleop
End