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Red100
518829.9
448130.1
406959.4
Blue206
84676.6
513635.9
439141.0
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions120148050100200250300350400100206

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4069
#53
59.41.2
54.853.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 17.2
846
#7
76.63.1
69.772.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
4481
#84
30.11.4
33.131.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 10.9
4391
#68
41.03.1
46.549.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
5188
#92
29.91.2
36.635.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 5.9
5136
#26
35.93.4
27.831.3
Auto
Teleop
End