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Red166
159259.7
518829.9
331353.2
Blue112
61081.3
19056.8
505212.6
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1341630100200300400166112

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1592
#58
59.71.4
58.459.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 21.5
610
#16
81.32.3
84.582.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3313
#20
53.21.4
51.853.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.7
190
#27
56.82.3
59.256.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
5188
#92
29.91.4
28.629.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 17.3
5052
#98
12.62.3
14.912.6
Auto
Teleop
End