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Red232
228366.8
151166.8
2559.7
Blue207
34057.1
34168.9
382468.4
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions18720050100150250300350400450232207

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1511
#30
66.82.1
64.967.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.1
341
#33
68.90.4
72.472.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2283
#48
66.82.1
64.666.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.6
3824
#45
68.40.4
68.068.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
25
#23
59.72.1
59.861.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.5
340
#39
57.10.4
58.158.5
Auto
Teleop
End