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Red250
353986.3
198349.1
86876.8
Blue145
33073.1
99735.5
314765.2
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2221750100200300400250145

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3539
#14
86.31.8
86.888.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 13.2
330
#73
73.11.9
77.775.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
868
#2
76.81.8
76.478.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 11.6
3147
#70
65.21.9
67.065.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1983
#15
49.11.8
51.353.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 13.5
997
#74
35.51.9
37.435.5
Auto
Teleop
End