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Qual 292014 Newton Division
Red81
248663.3
159259.7
513635.9
Blue171
13355.8
112655.0
208558.1
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions16115505010020025030035081171

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2486
#11
63.34.0
62.6→58.6
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 5.2
2085
#44
58.10.7
47.7→48.4
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Second
1592
#58
59.74.0
66.3→62.3
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 3.9
133
#61
55.80.7
52.2→52.9
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Third
5136
#26
35.94.0
31.3→27.3
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 19.2
1126
#52
55.00.7
56.2→56.9
Auto—
Teleop—
End—