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Red118
86876.8
323850.4
494915.5
Blue162
314765.2
81158.1
19056.8
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1172130300400500118162

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
868
#2Sur
76.80.7
69.368.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 11.6
3147
#70Sur
65.21.8
77.876.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3238
#60
50.40.7
45.644.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 7.8
811
#86
58.11.8
63.762.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4949
#100
15.50.7
16.615.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 41.3
190
#27
56.81.8
56.254.4
Auto
Teleop
End