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Red166
406154.9
33073.1
518829.9
Blue172
261458.0
306530.9
12041.2
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1631100200300400166172

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
330
#73
73.10.6
65.165.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 15.1
2614
#19
58.02.7
53.155.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
4061
#62
54.90.6
56.356.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 13.7
120
#76
41.22.7
42.745.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
5188
#92
29.90.6
33.433.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.0
3065
#63
30.92.7
22.425.1
Auto
Teleop
End