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Red175
501043.0
205468.4
403975.0
Blue166
512445.0
126171.9
34057.1
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1741500100200300400175166

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4039
#10
75.00.3
74.674.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.1
1261
#69
71.90.6
69.570.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
68.40.3
63.263.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 11.3
340
#39
57.10.6
50.951.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
5010
#41
43.00.3
32.232.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.0
5124
#42
45.00.6
33.133.7
Auto
Teleop
End