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Red167
1689.2
159259.7
490530.6
Blue122
173544.7
439141.0
328457.6
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1801530100200300400167122

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
16
#4
89.20.4
90.890.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 31.6
3284
#28
57.61.7
59.157.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1592
#58
59.70.4
62.361.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 15.0
1735
#79
44.71.7
50.048.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4905
#31
30.60.4
22.321.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 10.5
4391
#68
41.01.7
47.846.0
Auto
Teleop
End