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Red255
406154.9
164066.2
490530.6
Blue118
113848.9
352855.0
314765.2
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1351880100300400255118

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1640
#24
66.25.6
64.870.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.0
3147
#70
65.23.1
76.173.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
4061
#62
54.95.6
56.962.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.1
3528
#67
55.03.1
57.254.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4905
#31
30.65.6
21.827.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 18.3
1138
#54
48.93.1
46.443.4
Auto
Teleop
End