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Qual 582014 Newton Division
Red75
126171.9
494915.5
519020.7
Blue177
101437.9
228366.8
406959.4
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9915305020025030035075177

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1261
#69
71.91.6
70.1→68.5
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 5.2
2283
#48
66.81.6
62.6→64.2
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Second
5190
#77
20.71.6
21.3→19.7
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 38.7
4069
#53
59.41.6
47.2→48.8
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Third
4949
#100
15.51.6
15.9→14.3
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 22.3
1014
#88
37.91.6
35.0→36.6
Auto—
Teleop—
End—