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Red156
241546.7
517129.2
205468.4
Blue145
287766.1
62338.7
5867.6
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions139168050100200250300350156145

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
68.40.6
61.862.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.9
58
#29
67.60.9
64.463.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2415
#64
46.70.6
50.751.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 19.4
2877
#40
66.10.9
55.654.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
5171
#72
29.20.6
30.631.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 9.5
623
#97
38.70.9
43.242.3
Auto
Teleop
End