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Semifinal 1-32014 Newton Division
Red250
167895.2
164066.2
111497.5
Blue195
180668.9
36881.7
392860.0
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2781990100300400500250195

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1114
#3
97.50.3
99.8→99.5
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 15.8
368
#21
81.70.3
82.0→81.7
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Second
1678
#1
95.20.3
97.5→97.2
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 26.2
1806
#35
68.90.3
69.2→68.9
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Third
1640
#24
66.20.3
68.5→68.2
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 6.2
3928
#38
60.00.3
60.3→60.0
Auto—
Teleop—
End—