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Red147
403975.0
2559.7
353986.3
Blue171
97182.3
34168.9
198349.1
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2282070100300400147171

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3539
#14
86.31.3
87.686.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.0
971
#9
82.30.7
85.785.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
4039
#10
75.01.3
76.375.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 6.2
341
#33
68.90.7
72.371.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
25
#23
59.71.3
61.059.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 10.6
1983
#15
49.10.7
52.551.8
Auto
Teleop
End