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Red72
345133.0
455537.3
50126.4
Blue89
50920.6
15114.7
176126.0
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions54520204060801001207289

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4555
#30
37.31.6
19.020.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 11.4
1761
#11
26.03.0
22.225.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3451
#14
33.01.6
15.817.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 12.4
509
#5
20.61.8
13.114.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
501
#27
26.41.6
17.819.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 11.7
151
#36
14.73.0
17.620.6
Auto
Teleop
End