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Red32
454623.3
124716.4
404212.8
Blue46
359713.3
528618.1
323622.4
49%Model gave it51%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions545502040801001201403246

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4546
#22
23.31.9
22.220.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.8
3236
#13
22.40.8
23.322.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1247
#24
16.41.1
18.817.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.7
5286
#26
18.10.8
14.914.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4042
#31
12.81.9
13.311.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.5
3597
#35
13.30.8
16.816.0
Auto
Teleop
End