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Red191
31956.5
345133.0
495827.3
Blue102
346755.2
455537.3
323622.4
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions77105050150200250191102

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
319
#2
56.59.1
40.149.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.3
55.20.1
45.845.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3451
#14
33.09.1
26.235.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 4.3
4555
#30
37.30.1
32.032.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
27.38.5
15.323.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.8
3236
#13
22.40.1
22.622.7
Auto
Teleop
End