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Red100
323622.4
34838.2
21328.5
Blue98
455537.3
105823.1
359713.3
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9154015020025010098

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
348
#21
38.21.0
38.239.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.9
4555
#30
37.32.6
30.132.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
213
#6
28.51.0
24.725.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 5.4
1058
#28
23.12.8
17.720.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3236
#13
22.41.0
22.223.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 9.2
3597
#35
13.32.6
11.814.4
Auto
Teleop
End