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Red106
528618.1
492530.9
455537.3
Blue108
328017.4
50126.4
454623.3
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions75540100150106108

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4555
#30
37.32.1
32.734.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 10.9
501
#27
26.43.4
24.728.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
4925
#20
30.92.1
23.625.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 7.7
4546
#22
23.33.1
19.722.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
5286
#26
18.12.1
15.717.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.7
3280
#19
17.43.1
12.916.0
Auto
Teleop
End