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Red125
332330.9
17747.1
13843.5
Blue142
356618.6
81135.9
242320.8
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11263050100150200250125142

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
177
#18
47.10.3
41.642.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 11.2
811
#17
35.91.2
34.435.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
138
#1
43.50.3
38.038.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 22.6
2423
#37
20.81.2
19.320.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3323
#31
30.90.4
24.825.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 12.2
3566
#11
18.61.2
17.118.3
Auto
Teleop
End