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Red70
403425.6
183119.9
287639.0
Blue109
208423.5
17235.3
9729.5
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions85865010015070109

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2876
#16
39.00.3
39.539.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.7
172
#8
35.30.4
34.434.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
25.60.3
26.125.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 4.0
97
#14
29.50.4
28.528.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1831
#28
19.90.3
20.520.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.6
2084
#20
23.50.4
22.623.0
Auto
Teleop
End