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Red151
17235.3
151935.8
81135.9
Blue61
13161.5
415114.5
172114.7
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9244015020015161

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
811
#17
35.95.5
19.124.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 25.6
131
#2
61.50.8
37.238.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
35.85.5
32.738.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 21.1
1721
#30
14.70.8
7.88.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
172
#8
35.35.5
33.138.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 20.8
4151
#39
14.50.8
6.67.4
Auto
Teleop
End