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Red150
356618.6
395817.9
492916.2
Blue74
9524.7
262122.2
13329.9
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5847010015015074

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3566
#11
18.67.8
24.332.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 11.3
133
#5
29.92.1
20.122.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3958
#21
17.97.8
16.324.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 6.9
95
#7
24.72.1
19.321.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4929
#34
16.27.8
15.423.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 6.0
2621
#29
22.22.1
9.111.3
Auto
Teleop
End