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Red76
360921.0
415114.5
395817.9
Blue101
151935.8
127710.8
88537.4
13%Model gave it87%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions349505015020076101

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3609
#22
21.02.5
20.723.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 16.4
885
#19
37.41.2
39.140.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3958
#21
17.92.5
16.418.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 17.9
35.81.2
36.938.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4151
#39
14.52.5
6.28.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.7
1277
#26
10.81.3
9.610.9
Auto
Teleop
End