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Red43
264841.2
15129.7
403425.6
Blue41
234213.7
237016.8
332330.9
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions67410501001504341

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
41.21.7
32.631.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 10.4
3323
#31
30.90.4
19.218.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
25.61.5
22.320.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 8.7
2370
#35
16.80.3
13.312.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1512
#27
9.71.5
7.96.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.9
2342
#24
13.70.3
12.712.4
Auto
Teleop
End