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Red0
15129.7
415114.5
332330.9
Blue71
13161.5
287639.0
356618.6
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions47770100150200071

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3323
#31
30.94.3
21.517.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 30.6
131
#2
61.50.1
36.035.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
4151
#39
14.54.3
11.67.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 24.5
2876
#16
39.00.1
18.017.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1512
#27
9.74.3
18.514.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 8.9
3566
#11
18.60.1
18.518.4
Auto
Teleop
End