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Red75
192230.9
415114.5
9729.5
Blue131
516325.8
490933.9
17747.1
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4986010015020075131

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1922
#10
30.91.4
24.525.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 16.2
177
#18
47.13.4
37.040.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
97
#14
29.51.5
21.422.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 4.4
4909
#15
33.93.4
26.730.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4151
#39
14.51.4
8.710.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 11.4
5163
#23
25.83.4
16.519.9
Auto
Teleop
End