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Red95
192230.9
262122.2
178621.6
Blue74
208423.5
415114.5
37805.2
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions82260501001502009574

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1922
#10
30.91.2
30.031.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 7.4
2084
#20
23.52.2
19.821.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2621
#29
22.21.2
21.022.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 7.8
4151
#39
14.52.2
12.314.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1786
#25
21.61.2
22.323.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 16.5
3780
#38
5.22.2
3.05.2
Auto
Teleop
End